Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.060268 0.070475 0.081850 0.095461 0.111304 0.129162 0.150821
2025-09-21 0.042940 0.055796 0.071655 0.092641 0.119678 0.153341 0.198460
2025-09-28 0.032786 0.046199 0.064086 0.089652 0.125249 0.173060 0.242206
2025-10-05 0.027656 0.041654 0.061551 0.091847 0.136792 0.201013 0.299834
2025-10-12 0.023558 0.037588 0.058666 0.092562 0.145680 0.225736 0.355680
2025-10-19 0.020338 0.034169 0.055999 0.092860 0.153514 0.249371 0.412531
2025-10-26 0.018014 0.031721 0.054351 0.094297 0.163007 0.276374 0.477832
2025-11-02 0.016365 0.030096 0.053727 0.097183 0.175045 0.308705 0.555819
2025-11-09 0.014041 0.026905 0.049931 0.093946 0.175915 0.321981 0.602309
2025-11-16 0.012509 0.024914 0.047950 0.093611 0.181775 0.344474 0.667820
2025-11-23 0.011135 0.023006 0.045838 0.092683 0.186289 0.364854 0.731679
2025-11-30 0.010265 0.021961 0.045213 0.094499 0.196231 0.396466 0.820861
2025-12-07 0.009177 0.020332 0.043261 0.093483 0.200579 0.418102 0.893816
2025-12-14 0.008100 0.018572 0.040810 0.091107 0.201826 0.433708 0.956562
2025-12-21 0.007128 0.016895 0.038301 0.088240 0.201605 0.446162 1.014111
2025-12-28 0.006669 0.016314 0.038092 0.090416 0.212703 0.483999 1.131874
2026-01-04 0.006153 0.015519 0.037292 0.091123 0.220540 0.515567 1.239456
2026-01-11 0.005665 0.014720 0.036374 0.091417 0.227428 0.545768 1.347624
2026-01-18 0.005294 0.014159 0.035947 0.092831 0.237166 0.583685 1.478882
2026-01-25 0.005036 0.013849 0.036088 0.095672 0.250773 0.632378 1.642553
2026-02-01 0.004492 0.012704 0.033980 0.092486 0.248728 0.642695 1.711364
2026-02-08 0.004143 0.012035 0.033013 0.092156 0.254038 0.671964 1.832522
2026-02-15 0.003802 0.011341 0.031885 0.091242 0.257671 0.697366 1.946700